Key to the Democratic primaries
WHAT'S AT STAKE
Democrats need 2,025 delegates to snag the party's nomination. According to the Washington Post, Obama has 1,386 delegates and 199 of the 800 super delegates. Clinton has 1,276 delegates, including 241 super delegates. At The New Republic's Plank, Jonathan Chait says Clinton needs 57% of the pledged delegates to claim a victory.
Delegates: 228 total delegates, 35 super delegates Polls: Still too close to call, but Real Clear Politics takes an average and gives Clinton a tiny 1.7% lead. Key Demographics: Hispanics (37.1%), Blacks (22%), Females (51.9%) 29 and young voters (11%). Delegates: 161 total delegates, 20 super delegates Polls: Real Clear Politics average gives Clinton a 7.1% lead. Most polls show a tie or give Clinton a slight lead. Key issues: Economy and NAFTA. Key voter group: Union workers, who make up 14% of Ohio's workers.RHODE ISLAND
Delegates: 32 Polls: Real Clear Politics average gives Clinton a 9.7% lead.VERMONT
Delegates: 15 Polls: Solid for Obama, who has 57% to Clinton's 33%.KEY QUESTIONS
Who will sway religious voters? A Gallup Poll found that highly religious white Democrats tend to favor Clinton over Obama. Black Democrats - usually more religious than white Democrats - heavily favor Obama, however. Christianity Today notes that it is hard to find reliable data for Democratic-voting evangelicals Will Republicans and conservative-leaning Independents vote for Obama? Can Clinton's 3:00 AM ad convince voters that she's the one to trust on national security? Will "NAFTA-gate," as the Clinton campaign calls it, tarnish Obama's rhetoric of change?
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