Kicker: Punxsutawney Phil’s prediction

MARY REICHARD, HOST: A crowd gathered this morning at Gobbler's Knob for the 137th annual forecast from Punxsutawney Phil.

Last year Phil cast a shadow—forecasting six more weeks of winter. We looked over the climate stats for Pennsylvania and found his 2022 forecast? Mostly true!

But just how accurate is his Groundhog Day forecast over 120 years?

Turns out...not very.

Stormfax Almanac analyzed the data. It found that when Phil sees his shadow, the forecast is right less than 40 percent of the time. When Phil doesn't see his shadow, his forecast is slightly better, but still only about 47 percent.

Myrna, you could flip a quarter and be more accurate than that!

AUDIO: [Myrna flipping a coin]

MYRNA: Heads an early spring, tails six more weeks...

AUDIO: [Myrna announces the result]

REICHARD: Okay then! Either way we know spring will come...no matter what.

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